Zhou Yanling: 10.4 Interval Fluctuation Awaiting Non-Farm Payrolls to Ignite Today's Latest Operational Strategy
Currently, the market's focus is on the non-farm payroll data to be released at 8:30 PM. According to Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's remarks, the subsequent interest rate cuts will depend on upcoming economic data. Therefore, tonight's non-farm data is quite important. At present, the market's expectation for the new jobs added in this non-farm report is not low, estimated at 140,000, with the unemployment rate expected to remain steady at 4.2%. If the new job numbers exceed expectations and the unemployment rate meets or falls below expectations, the US dollar index may continue to rebound. However, if the August data shows a significant downward revision, the US dollar index may rise and then fall back. Thus, everyone should avoid being overly aggressive and anxious in their operations; it is essential to wait for the market to stabilize and the trend to clarify before following. There are countless ways to make money in the crypto space, but the first rule is to prioritize stable risk control!
From the market trend perspective, after a surge in the morning session, we are now entering a phase of fluctuation and adjustment. If the market does not break out of the range during the day, we will need to wait for guidance from the non-farm data during the evening session. Overall, the daytime small range is between 60,800 and 61,700, and we will continue to observe fluctuations within this range in the short term. Currently, the 4-hour trend support is evident, with both the DIF and DEA in the MACD 4-hour cycle being negative, but the MACD histogram is gradually shortening, indicating that the bearish strength is weakening. Therefore, before breaking the trend support, the bullish sentiment will be stronger today. The RSI is around 40, not entering the overbought or oversold zones, indicating that the market is in a relatively balanced state. The current price is above the EMA7 but below the EMA30 and EMA120, showing signs of a short-term rebound. However, from a medium-term perspective, it is still under significant pressure. Thus, today's operations should be treated with caution regarding fluctuations, and the specific direction can be determined after the evening data pushes the market, based on the strength of each asset. If any crypto friends are concerned about operating poorly during the non-farm period tonight, they can join Yanling to keep up with real-time layout notifications.
10.4 Bitcoin Operational Strategy:
Buy at 60,700-61,100, stop loss below 60,200, target 62,000-62,500, continue to look for a breakout at 63,700.
Lightly short at 62,500-62,000, stop loss above 62,900, target 61,400-60,900, continue to look for a breakdown near 60,000.
10.4 Ethereum Operational Strategy:
Buy at 2,350-2,380, stop loss below 2,320, target near 2,430, continue to look for a breakout near 2,500.
Short at 2,500-2,470, stop loss above 2,530, target 2,430-2,400, continue to look for a breakdown near 2,340.
[The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risks yourself. The article review and publication may have delays, and the strategies may not be timely. Specific operations should follow Yanling's real-time strategies.]
This article is exclusively shared by senior analyst Zhou Yanling (WeChat public account: Zhou Yanling). The author has been engaged in financial market investment research for over ten years, currently mainly analyzing and guiding BTC, ETH, DOT, DOGE, LTC, FIL, EOS, XRP, BCH, ETC, BSV, and other crypto contracts/spot operations. For more real-time community guidance, consultation on unblocking positions, and learning market analysis skills, you can follow the teacher's public account: Zhou Yanling to find the teacher.
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