Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui Shuobi, focusing on the analysis of digital currency market trends, striving to deliver the most valuable market information to the majority of currency friends. Welcome to the attention and likes of the majority of currency friends, and refuse any market smokescreen!
Long time no see, I hope everyone is well. Lao Cui is still on vacation. In the past few days, I have seen many friends' messages, which has also made Lao Cui worried. I will reply to everyone's questions collectively. I classified the topics that everyone is most concerned about recently, which are mainly related to the interest rate cuts by the Fed. Many friends do not quite understand the interest rate cuts by the Fed, and even have a pessimistic attitude towards the impact of interest rate cuts on the currency circle. In this article, I will discuss the future trend and the strategies for spot and contract users. By the way, I want to mention that there are many fraudulent platforms in the currency circle, everyone must pay attention to the risks. If you feel that there is a problem, it is better to ask more experienced people than to ask Lao Cui.
This article is drafted in a hasty manner, and I hope everyone will watch it patiently. Regarding the interest rate cuts by the Fed, Lao Cui has always advocated that the interest rate cuts between September and October this year will definitely be implemented before the general election. At that time, this view was criticized by many currency friends, but now it seems that Lao Cui's prediction is quite accurate. This round of interest rate cuts is definitely a shot in the arm for the entire financial market. You need to understand that an interest rate cut means that the currency circle has the opportunity to start a bull market, which is the turning point from a bear market to a bull market. Moreover, judging from the nature of the Fed, this interest rate cut is just the beginning, especially as the dot plot shows that there will be continued interest rate cuts in the future. It is estimated that the interest rate cuts this year will be around 100 basis points, and historically, there have only been five instances of a single interest rate cut of 50 basis points. They are the Latin American debt crisis in 1981, the Japanese economic bubble in 1989, the dot-com bubble in 2001, the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007, and the mask crisis in 2020, as well as the current interest rate cut.
The previous four interest rate cuts have all triggered a new round of bull market. Whether this round can maintain the previous stability is indeed a question mark. The opponents in these rounds have always been changing frequently, and only this time the opponent has given the Fed a bit of a headache. So it is really difficult to predict the duration of this bull market. But it is certain that the bull market will come. You need to understand that an interest rate cut represents continuity, not just a one-time 50 basis point cut. Therefore, the continuous growth of the financial market is inevitable. This is for spot users. Do not focus on short-term profits. The era of spot users will officially begin. Those who hold for a longer time will become bigger beneficiaries. In addition, with two rounds of listings in the currency circle this year, Bitcoin and Ethereum will definitely become the biggest dark horses. So, for those who want to invest in which currency, you must weigh your options. For altcoin users, now is a good time to enter the market. You must choose currencies backed by large capital.
At the beginning of the year, Lao Cui mentioned that as long as the listing of Ethereum and the interest rate cuts are confirmed, it will definitely usher in the growth of the bull market. The current returns are just the beginning. Therefore, for the later returns, it will not be too difficult for Ethereum to double, while Bitcoin may indeed face certain challenges in doubling. So for spot users, try to choose the one with a smaller market cap. The difference in recognition between Ethereum and Bitcoin is not significant at the moment, and the conditions for listing are only these two currencies. For spot users, if the capital is sufficient, you must aim for these two. For those with a large capital, invest in Bitcoin, and for those with a small capital, consider Ethereum. As for the future trend, there is no doubt that there is only one path to choose, which is the bull market. You need to understand this correctly. The bull market does not mean that there will be no corrections along the way. The depth of the correction will definitely occur, but from the overall operation, the nodes of the correction are basically at the juncture of interest rate cuts. As long as there are continuous interest rate cuts, the depth of the correction will be within a controllable range. The start of the bull market does not mean that contract users will be able to profit. The focus is still on choosing the direction. Contract users should try to avoid shorting and focus more on longing.
Finally, for contract users, Lao Cui's layout has always been more inclined towards longing since the end of August. At present, there are more spot users, and the basic entry points are all lurking around 2300. I am grateful for everyone's trust, which has brought about this opportunity. If the capital is sufficient, it is still better to focus on spot trading, and only engage in short-term contract trading. Although the growth space of the bull market is large, the depth of the correction will definitely increase. At present, the most secure way is definitely to favor spot trading. If contract users are stuck in a position, try to get out of it. If short positions are stuck at this stage, it is basically a death sentence. Long-term holding will definitely not be profitable, so try to find a position to exit.
Lao Cui's conclusion: Today's article is just to give everyone confidence. The overall trend is basically the same as Lao Cui's previous analysis, so I did not explain technical details. In addition, the previous user layout has basically ended, so Lao Cui has also started a new journey recently. Tomorrow, I will officially start a new round of analysis with everyone until the end of this bull market. So please do not urge for more updates. Although Lao Cui is still on the road today, I did not sleep well. See you tomorrow. The bull market has just begun for everyone to make money. Expand your horizons. If you have specific questions, you can directly message me, and I will reply to most of them. Tomorrow is the official class time. Don't miss it. This article is just to tell everyone that Lao Cui is still here!
Lao Cui's message: Investment is like playing chess. A master can see five, seven, or even more steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation, plans for the general trend, and does not focus on every single move, but aims to win the game in the end. The novice fights for every inch, frequently changes between long and short positions, and only focuses on short-term gains, often getting trapped as a result.
Original article from public account: Lao Cui Shuobi. Direct contact for assistance.
This material is for learning and reference only and does not constitute investment advice. If you buy or sell based on this, you do so at your own risk!
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