The increase in neutral interest rates has an impact on the market.

The simplest explanation for the increase in neutral interest rates is that it will prolong the period of high interest rates, maintaining a relatively high level of interest rates to ensure that the economy does not overheat and to avoid repeated inflation.

So, in plain language, raising the neutral interest rate indicates that the Federal Reserve believes that the current economy is still stronger than arrogant, and indeed represents the short-term absence of signs of economic recession.

However, from the Federal Reserve's dot plot, it can also be seen that the expected interest rate in 2024 is 4.4%, in 2025 is 3.4%, and in 2026 is 2.9%, so the increase in the neutral interest rate has already been reflected in the dot plot.

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