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BTC
12-hour market review: The 8:00 opening line gave a long position signal, hitting a new high and then trading sideways at a high level for 12 hours. Currently, it is testing whether the bullish candlestick is valid.
Recent focus: Support in the 56100-56600 range, resistance in the 59400-60200 range. Pay attention to acceleration after breaking the range.
Key focus: Support of the two red sloping lines. If one sloping line is broken, look for a breakout candlestick within 30 minutes as a defensive position to go short.
Structural form: M-top on the 30-minute chart, with 57950 as the resistance neckline. After breaking the neckline and the high point, pay attention to an accelerated uptrend!
Trading ideas<<<<<<
Long position: Buy in the 54450-54850 range on a pullback without breaking the solid body, and go long when a bottom pattern signal appears on the 5-minute or 30-minute chart.
Long position: Buy in the 56100-56600 range on a pullback without breaking the solid body, and go long when a bottom pattern signal appears on the 5-minute or 30-minute chart.
Short position: Sell in the 59400-60200 range on a rebound without breaking the solid body, and go short when a top pattern signal appears on the 5-minute or 30-minute chart.
Short position: Sell in the 58100-58400 range on a rebound without breaking the solid body, and go short when a top pattern signal appears on the 5-minute or 30-minute chart.
Personal viewpoint:
Judging from the strength of this rebound, BTC has already moved out of the upward slope. What we need to pay attention to is whether the slope's support is effective. If it breaks below the slope, how far can it fall?
Looking at the naked K structure on the 2-hour chart, BTC has formed an expansion pattern after three upward waves. We need to pay attention to a one-sided trend after the market washes out.
Personal trading advice: Focus on long positions on pullbacks, with short positions at high levels as a supplement. Exit when encountering a top or bottom pattern on the 30-minute or 2-hour chart.
Everyone should pay attention to position management and be cautious with heavy positions.
Graphical explanation: The yellow line represents the structure and form, the red line represents the trend line, and the white line represents the key neckline support and resistance. Go short near the upper range within the range, and go long near the lower range within the range. If the support and resistance are broken, you can go long or short with a light position. Set stop loss at the top or bottom of the breakout candlestick.
ETH
12-hour market review: The 8:00 opening line gave a long position signal, but after failing to break the new high, it fell. Currently, it is testing whether the bullish candlestick is valid.
Recent focus: Resistance in the 2400-2430 range, support in the 2300-2330 range. Strong support in the 2265-2240 range below. Pay attention to acceleration after breaking the range. Extreme downside target: 2175.
Structural form: Triple top on the 2-hour chart, with 2385-2410 as the resistance range.
Trading ideas<<<<<<
Short position: Sell in the 2385-2430 range on a rebound without breaking the solid body, and go short when a top pattern signal appears on the 5-minute or 30-minute chart.
Short position: Sell in the 2510-2540 range on a rebound without breaking the solid body, and go short when a top pattern signal appears on the 5-minute or 30-minute chart.
Long position: Buy in the 2300-2330 range on a pullback without breaking the solid body, and go long when a bottom pattern signal appears on the 5-minute or 30-minute chart.
Long position: Buy in the 2265-2240 range on a pullback without breaking the solid body, and go long when a bottom pattern signal appears on the 5-minute or 30-minute chart.
Personal viewpoint:
The upward momentum of ETH is still weaker than BTC. BTC has already broken the previous high, but ETH has not, which is reasonable. This type of trend has occurred multiple times before. Each time ETH rises today, the momentum is smaller than BTC's. Although this is the case, the overall trend will still be linked to BTC, so technical analysis can be synchronized for reference.
Everyone should pay attention to position management and be cautious with heavy positions.
Graphical explanation: The yellow line represents the structure and form, and the breakout of the major trend line. The white line represents the key neckline support and resistance. Go short near the upper range within the range, and go long near the lower range within the range. If the support and resistance are broken, you can go long or short with a light position. Set stop loss at the top or bottom of the breakout candlestick.
One cold knowledge a day:
How to lightly position for long-term trades, divide the total position you want to enter into 2-4 entries. After entering, do not sell randomly. Do not exit long-term trades on the daily chart level without a double or triple candlestick reversal signal. (Light positioning cannot be too heavy, otherwise it cannot withstand the volatility of the market.)
The analysis and strategies are time-sensitive, please refer to the real-time guidance of "WeChat Official Account: Full-time Intraday Trader" for specific details!
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The author has been engaged in financial market investment research for many years, mainly analyzing and guiding stock, futures, and cryptocurrency contract/spot operations. If you need to understand more real-time guidance, consultation on getting out of a predicament, or learn chart reading skills, welcome all investors to follow "WeChat Official Account: Full-time Intraday Trader" for more real-time market analysis.
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