"How many of the ten industry predictions at the beginning of the year came true?"

CN
BTCdayu
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1 month ago

"Did I Get Any of the Ten Industry Predictions Right at the Beginning of the Year?"

  1. Predicted that BTC would break through its previous high of 69,000 and quickly reach 100,000 Half correct. At that time, the price was 38,000, and the ETF was also approved, but now it's at 56,000.

  2. Predicted that the Bitcoin ecosystem would explode, with ORDI reaching 300 Failed! No one is picking up the pieces, and the ecosystem is cold.

  3. Predicted that SOL would continue to rise, with a strong ecosystem Correct! Later, BOME on SOL became the first amazing rise of 24.

  4. Predicted that modularization would become an important narrative Failed! All for the sake of shipping.

  5. Predicted that profit-sharing L2 would emerge and grow Failed, no one is sharing, no one is paying attention, and the number of L2s is growing explosively.

  6. Predicted that old-school PUA L2 would become a ghost town Correct! There are many ghost towns like ZK.

  7. Predicted that algorithmic stability would emerge Wrong! Zhusu did not take this path, went to manage OX orders, and there is no good algorithmic stability.

  8. Predicted that KOL's power far exceeds that of the media Correct

  9. Predicted that OKX wallet would have a big development Correct

  10. Predicted that Bitcoin L2 would not work Correct

The current score is 5.5, and one major opportunity was successfully hit. Overall satisfied. I will write a prediction for 2025 later.

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