"Short-term and Long-term"

CN
BTCdayu
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2 months ago

"Short-term and Long-term"

Short-term fluctuations have little to do with long-term value;

What is unclear in the short term becomes clearer over time;

What may happen in the short term will definitely happen in the long term;

The right thing may seem wrong in the short term, and vice versa;

Thinking about the long term = thinking about what is likely to happen.

Some long-term perspectives:

  1. The token market's trend towards resembling the stock market is inevitable, and it is correct and necessary to allocate assets with a global perspective.

  2. Every circle has its dividend period, peak period, and decline period, constantly cycling.

  3. There is no eternal bull market, but there are long-term targets with upward trends.

  4. If the token market lacks innovation and is only speculative, then the altcoin bull market will have a limit and will not continue indefinitely—because there are only so many stablecoins that can enter the market. If these stablecoins are found to be speculative and only result in losses and buying the dip, then there will be no altcoin bull market.

  5. ETH, SOL, and all other chains fundamentally lack innovation and are just MEMEs, all with limits and speculative lifecycles.

  6. BTC has a significant impact on the overall market, but in the long term, without innovation, this impact will manifest as long-term fluctuations in BTC's rise, while altcoins will lag behind.

  7. Innovation may not happen quickly, but new narratives will definitely emerge after BTC's rise—just like before.

As long as it's not real innovation, the emergence and end of these narratives are just waves of wealth transfer.

  1. When major opportunities arise, be prepared and take action. If a person seizes 10 opportunities in their lifetime, they can become one in ten million.

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