Tomorrow evening, there will be important macroeconomic data on the US unemployment rate for March. The strong US economic data has significantly reduced the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in May, with the probability of a rate cut in May dropping from 90% last month to the current 50%.

From the options data, despite a nearly 10% pullback this week, market volatility expectations are still rapidly declining. Tomorrow marks the first weekly delivery after the quarterly large delivery. BTC Dvol has dropped below 70%, and the downward pressure on IV mentioned at the end of last month is still being released.

Large transactions have been relatively weak recently, mainly focused on buying bullish options after the halving. Large holders have sufficient margin, and subsequent operations are worth paying attention to.

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。