This week's main focus is on the unemployment rate data on Friday. There are multiple FOMC voting members speaking this week, which is also worth paying attention to. Powell's recent speech has reiterated the expectation of interest rate cuts, but the high interest rate market will continue, slightly exceeding previous market expectations. Currently, the market is fiercely competing at $70,000, lacking hotspots, and traders are generally in a wait-and-see state.
Key events this week:
4/2 Tuesday *
The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of the March monetary policy meeting.
4/3 Wednesday *
US March ADP employment figures.
4/4 Thursday *
The European Central Bank releases the minutes of the March monetary policy meeting.
US initial jobless claims.
4/5 Friday ***
US March seasonally adjusted non-farm employment.
US March unemployment rate.
Crypto market outlook: Bitcoin's volatility has significantly decreased in the past week, while the largest quarterly delivery in history has released a large amount of margin, but the main term IV has not shown a significant decrease, and Dvol remains high. Dvol faces significant downward pressure, and the main term option IV, led by medium-term and short-term options IV, is likely to gradually decline.
In the crypto interest rate market, Bitfinex spot whales are continuously increasing leverage, and the green leaf interest rate market is becoming active again. Friends with idle funds can start increasing lending in the green leaf market.
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