First, let's briefly talk about the BTC market. The big cake experienced a small-scale up and down needle insertion last night due to the Americans going to work. At 10:30, it quickly dropped from above 43,000 to 42,000, and then rapidly rose from 42,000 to over 43,000. The analysis of the early market yesterday did not show the downward departure segment hitting 42,000, and it returned to the oscillating pattern.

The current trend has evolved into a 30-minute central oscillation, with bulls and bears fiercely fighting in this range. One thing that can be confirmed is that the downside risk of the big cake has not been resolved. Just as mentioned in yesterday's article, it is unpredictable when the downward departure segment will appear. The current movement is the fifth segment, and it may even evolve into a central nine-segment upgrade and a sharp decline pattern, which longs need to pay strict attention to.

Returning to the main topic, today, on January 17th, the Ethereum Goerli test network's KanKun upgrade officially begins! This account's article on January 5th, "The Impact of ETH KanKun Upgrade on the Market," has already provided a preliminary analysis of the upgrade's impact on the market. It mentioned the most important point, which is that Ethereum and the Ethereum ecosystem will become the next hot spot for capital speculation. From the current overall trend of the coin circle, it is obvious that Ethereum's recent trend is stronger than the big cake.

The next focus of capital allocation is recommended to shift to Ethereum and the Ethereum ecosystem. The meaning of allocation is to wait for a large-scale buying point to appear during the pullback (at least a 4-hour level buying point) and enter in batches, because the KanKun upgrade is a systematic project that cannot be completed in a short time. Therefore, one should not rush in when the market is hot, but should operate based on buying and selling points.

From the 4-hour chart, it can be seen that two pen central upward trends have already occurred within the upward departure segment. Whether the current upward trend can break a new high or not, the trend can still be considered perfect. Therefore, one should not be too single-minded in thinking that it will definitely break a new high.

Looking at the 4-hour level, the biggest medium-term entry opportunity in the future is still the three buys that I mentioned in the article on the 5th. This means patiently waiting for a 4-hour downward segment to appear and entering in batches when a secondary level 30-minute divergence or consolidation divergence occurs during the first or second buy.

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