The market sentiment is still predominantly bearish from the 9th to the 27th.

CN
1 year ago

The decline from 27500 to 26000 is an adjustment wave targeting the green line section (adjustments usually consist of three segments). The white line represents the first segment of the adjustment, and the yellow line represents the second segment. Currently, there are two scenarios:

  1. The red line represents the first part of the third segment adjustment, and it is currently undergoing the second part. After completing this, there will be a third part of the decline, with the low price range likely to be around 25400-25600.

  2. The red line represents the entire third segment adjustment (probability is relatively low). The reason for the low probability is due to the incomplete structure, and it is highly likely that 25990 is not the bottom of the retracement from 27500.

Both adjustment scenarios will lead to the appearance of the third segment uptrend on the daily chart. The condition for the third segment uptrend on the daily chart is that the price needs to be maintained above 25415 (may be pierced).

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