Bitfinex analysts have painted a bullish outlook for bitcoin in their latest Alpha report, citing strong institutional demand and the lasting effects of the 2024 halving. With bitcoin surpassing a $2 trillion market capitalization and achieving a price of over $100,000 in 2024, the report notes that institutional inflows and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have been pivotal to its growth. The analysts detailed:

Our view is that any corrections in 2025 will remain mild, thanks to institutional inflows.

ETFs, which collectively hold over 1.13 million BTC and have attracted $35.5 billion in inflows, continue to play a dominant role in driving market stability and demand, the analysts described.

The report highlights that bitcoin, now the seventh-largest global asset, is poised for significant growth in 2025. Bitfinex analysts project a price range of $145,000 to $200,000 by mid-2025, with favorable conditions pushing prices toward the higher end.

“Halving Year Effect: Historically, post-halving years have seen the strongest rallies,” they emphasized the role of halving events in bitcoin’s market cycles, stating:

Cycle Targets: Minimum price estimates stand at $145,000 by mid-2025, potentially stretching to $200,000 under favorable conditions.

However, they cautioned investors to be vigilant for potential volatility in early 2025 and watch for signs of overbought conditions as the cycle progresses.

Broader economic trends further strengthen bitcoin’s case as a global asset. With the U.S. labor market stabilizing, steady wage growth, and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, the macroeconomic backdrop is supportive of continued price appreciation. Bitfinex analysts remarked: “While volatility is expected in Q1 2025, the broader trend points to further price appreciation, supported by ETFs, institutional adoption, and Bitcoin’s increasing prominence as a global asset.” As bitcoin solidifies its position in the global financial system, its integration with institutional finance and widespread adoption suggest that 2025 could be another transformative year for the cryptocurrency.

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