The extraordinary performance of current prices is related to the improvement of fundamentals, or is it just the old routine seen in the previous market cycle?
Written by: THOR HARTVIGSEN
Translated by: Deep Tide TechFlow
In the last bull market, the performance of L1s such as Solana, Avalanche, Fantom, and Polygon was excellent in terms of price increases. Some may think that the dominance of this infrastructure is a characteristic of an industry still in its early stages.
So has there been a significant change from 2021 to today? From the following price performance, it seems that the situation has not changed.
L1s + L2s + DeFi 30-day performance
This raises a question: Is the extraordinary price performance currently related to the improvement of fundamentals, or is it just the old routine we saw in the previous market cycle? This article analyzes 8 top-performing L1s in an attempt to answer this question.
Solana (SOL)
What sets Solana apart from most L1s is its use of parallel processing to validate and execute transactions without the need for additional scaling layers. This makes it a platform with low user interaction costs and high capital efficiency.
Daily Active Addresses on Solana
In terms of user activity, Solana is currently one of the most popular blockchains in this area, mainly due to the airdrop of tokens to early users by emerging protocols. More and more people are interested in utilizing Solana's virtual machine capabilities, such as Eclipse using it to expand the current capabilities of Ethereum. One factor in Solana's rise is the annual decrease in the native token issuance, as SOL's inflation rate is decreasing.
Here are some ecosystems on Solana, and if the ecosystem continues to thrive, the token price should see a good increase:
- Jito ($JTO: $3 billion FDV)
Jito, as the primary liquidity staking protocol on Solana, has gained great popularity in the crypto community after airdropping to over 10,000 users.
- Bonk ($BONK: $1.4 billion FDV)
$BONK, as the most popular community coin on the Solana blockchain, has a huge market value and has seen a price increase of about 400% in the past 30 days as more people use the network and participate in it.
- Marginfi ($MRGN: Not yet launched)
Marginfi is a decentralized lending protocol, with a current total locked value (TVL) of over $240 million. It currently rewards users with points through interaction with the platform. These points will be used in the future to airdrop the tokens they are about to launch to users. If you are interested in airdrops, you can check out the recently released airdrop calculation rules.
Avalanche (AVAX)
Avalanche is a fast and scalable platform that allows developers to build custom blockchains or use existing subnets (divisions of a blockchain). The Avalanche main network actively uses three blockchains, as shown in the image below.
Most of us are familiar with the C-Chain, as that is where DeFi applications reside. The Avalanche main network itself is a special subnet. Currently, various projects are deploying their own subnets on the system, with some notable projects including:
Beam (Gaming): Aimed at providing a platform for developers through a community-driven approach
UPTN (Web3): Piloting in South Korea, integrating blockchain technology into real-world businesses
DFK (Gaming): A gameFi platform, Defi Kingdom
TVL of Avalanche
With AVAX breaking out of a long-term price range and a significant increase in TVL, the Avalanche ecosystem is gradually gaining more momentum. Importantly, this growth is due to the appreciation of AVAX, not additional token inflows.
A bullish case for Avalanche is the increasing number of platforms deploying subnets, choosing this approach over the currently available L2 solutions in the market to meet the specific needs of their applications.
If the ecosystem continues to show a sustained upward trend, some Avalanche ecosystems may perform well:
- Trader Joe (JOE: $3.0781 billion FDV)
The top DEX on the chain and a major component of the ecosystem, has been actively rolling out updates and generating significant fees with a surge in trading volume.
- Benqi (QI - $1.8274 billion FDV)
Benqi offers a range of DeFi products such as lending, liquidity staking, and validator leasing. With a huge increase in TVL in its liquidity staking sector, the price of QI has risen by about 250% in the past two weeks.
Near (NEAR)
Near is a blockchain, also referred to as an operating system, providing interoperability across any blockchain. Their core focus is on scalability, achieved through "sharding," dividing the network into smaller parts to process transactions more efficiently while maintaining speed, low cost, and decentralization.
Daily Active Addresses on Near
In collaboration with EigenLayer, Near is set to launch a "fast final layer" that will provide faster and cheaper transactions for Ethereum rollups. The testnet is expected to launch in the first quarter of 2024. Additionally, real-time market data provider Pyth has also entered Near, offering their oracle solution. This enables on-chain applications to easily access stock, commodity, and market data.
If the ecosystem continues to grow, some Near ecosystem applications may perform well:
- Meta Pool (META: $2.27 million FDV)
A multi-chain liquidity-based ecosystem offering a range of products including LSTs, liquidity provision, launchpads, and bonds. Meta Pool's cumulative TVL is $42.56 million, with 97% of the value on Near;
- Ref Finance (REF: $9.39 million FDV)
Ref, with a TVL of $16.87 million, is the largest AMM on Near, where users can engage in spot or margin trading at low transaction costs.
Injective (INJ)
Built on the Cosmos SDK, Injective is a blockchain for financial applications, offering fast transaction processing and low gas fees, along with strong interoperability with various other chains such as Ethereum and Solana.
INJ Price Trend from the Beginning of the Year
Trading Volume of INJ
The project has received funding from numerous well-known tech and crypto industry investors. Despite its large market cap, there is not much on-chain activity apart from staking, but there are efforts to attract builders to the platform. Earlier this year, a $150 million ecosystem fund was created to accelerate the adoption of interoperable infrastructure and DeFi. Although trading volume has been trending upwards in recent months, the daily volume of $5-7 million is not significant for a project with a market cap of $3 billion.
Polygon (MATIC)
Polygon (PoS) is an EVM-compatible sidechain designed for low-cost, fast transactions.
Polygon DEX Trading Volume
The trading volume of Polygon DEX has seen slight growth in recent months, but its growth rate is not as high as Solana or Avalanche.
In a blog post released in July, Polygon announced their 2.0 upgrade. Polygon is building a modular stack that includes "Supernets" (application-specific chains), privacy aggregators, and recently launched components like Polygon zkEVM.
Key points of this update include:
Redesigned protocol architecture;
Renaming the token from MATIC to POL;
Optimizing ecosystem benefits:
Strengthening security;
Increasing scalability;
These could be factors for the rise of the MATIC token in 2024. If MATIC rebounds, applications worth watching include:
- Quickswap (QUICK: $45.02 million FDV) deployed on multiple Polygon layers, with most of its $1.2565 billion TVL on the PoS chain, where users can exchange tokens and trade perpetual contracts while enjoying a wide range of products and services beyond DeFi. QuickSwap has generated $10.3 million in fees and approximately $11.1 billion in cumulative trading volume this year.
THORChain (RUNE)
THORChain operates as an independent L1 cross-chain AMM, allowing users to swap native assets across multiple chains without the need for wrapping or pegging assets.
THORChain Trading Volume
The underlying technology of the protocol is being effectively used for on-chain transactions, as evident from the trading volume metric. Recognized lending protocols actively burn most of the RUNE supply. Their lending model allows users to borrow BTC or ETH with various collateral options, zero interest, and no liquidation requirements. However, these loans require higher minimum collateral ratios ranging from 200% to 500% depending on market conditions.
If the ecosystem continues to grow, ecosystems that may perform well include:
THORSwap (THOR: $1.2954 billion FDV) The DEX aggregator offers one-click token swaps across 10 chains and over 5,000 assets, sharing 75% of revenue with users who stake their tokens. The protocol is currently burning tokens monthly based on trading volume and recently reached a TVL of $1 billion.
Maya (CACAO: $73.03 million FDV)
As a branch of THORChain, Maya is a cross-chain DEX aiming to compete directly with centralized exchanges by reducing risks associated with such entities while providing deep liquidity and low fees.
Fantom (FTM)
Fantom is a high-performance blockchain from the previous cycle, once hosting one of the largest DeFi ecosystems. Activity on Fantom has significantly decreased since the collapse of Terra, the uncoupling of Tomb, and the Multichain bridge vulnerability event.
FTM TVL
Despite going through a tough period, the team is actively planning to soon launch brand new blockchain technology to stay competitive. Utilizing new virtual machines and improved storage capabilities, their upcoming version named "Sonic" is expected to achieve over 2000 TPS. The upgrade is expected to be launched in the spring of 2024.
Applications that may perform well if the ecosystem continues to grow include:
SpookySwap (BOO: $11.33 million FDV) - Fantom's leading DEX offering native and cross-chain token swaps, and distributing a portion of trading fees to stakers.
BeethovenX (BEETS: $4.43 million FDV) - Derived from Balancer V2, BeethovenX is an AMM providing users with optimal exchange rates, minimal slippage, and stable yield opportunities. Token holders can earn a portion of the exchange fees generated by the platform.
WigoSwap (WIGO: $14.12 million) - Wigo offers a range of products from trading to gaming, aiming to be a core part of the Fantom ecosystem.
Cardano (ADA)
Cardano is a PoS blockchain that emerged in the previous cycle and is popular among retail investors. Despite ADA being a significant meme in many people's minds, the ecosystem's continued growth indicates increased adoption.
Cardano TVL
While not known for its DeFi scene, Cardano has shown strong growth in on-chain value and activity driven by its loyal community. To further incentivize usage and network efficiency, scalability pain points are being addressed through an L2 solution called "Hydra." Hydra is defined as a homomorphic L2 for off-chain processing, with each Hydra "head" capable of handling 1000 TPS.
Some ecosystem applications on Cardano:
Indigo (INDY: $11.491 billion FDV) - Cardano's preferred CDP platform, offering users the ability to create fully collateralized synthetic assets such as BTC, ETH, and USD.
Minswap (MIN: $17.428 billion FDV) - Community-driven Minswap protocol is a leading DEX in the ecosystem, despite a vulnerability event earlier this year, it still leads in TVL and trading volume.
Here is a summary of each L1 metric presented in today's research report.
In conclusion, it is evident that some L1s have seen growth in fundamental metrics such as daily active users, TVL, and trading volume. However, it is more apparent that the recent price appreciation of many of these products far exceeds the fundamental growth. We believe these tokens should be viewed more as narrative trades rather than long-term fundamental investments.
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