Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui Shuo Bi, focusing on the analysis of digital currency market trends, striving to deliver the most valuable market information to the majority of currency friends. Welcome to the attention and likes of the majority of currency friends, and refuse any market smokescreens!

Just after discussing that the currency circle belongs to a speculative market, a group of steadfast believers appeared again to discuss with Lao Cui the nature of the currency circle and its future prospects. Lao Cui himself really does not want to use his own understanding to change everyone's view of the entire market. As a practitioner in the currency circle, he also hopes that the currency circle can develop to the forefront of the entire financial system. The ideal is indeed full, but considering the actual situation, the development of the entire currency circle has indeed presented many drawbacks. The sense of recognition for the currency circle is becoming stronger and stronger, and we should not undermine everyone's enthusiasm at this time. The real problems have to make us face concerns about the future living environment, especially since the beginning of this year, various changes in the situation and the impact of various factors. Lao Cui has been thinking calmly for a long time and has decided to write this article.

From a macroeconomic perspective, the slowdown in economic growth is essentially a slowdown in population growth, and there are no longer 7 billion people on the earth. Although the population is declining, this problem cannot be solved too urgently. Resources are indeed limited, and compared to economic issues, the issue of non-renewable resources is certainly more important. In the era when weapons were not developed, humans solved the problem of population size through war, but now no one dares to launch large-scale military actions risking the destruction of a country. Every decision maker hopes to find a balance, but balance is always temporary. The glove of Thanos may be the best answer to the problem, efficient, fair, and painless. Reality is always more cruel than movies. The fact is that the set of rules of capitalism, running in the current free port, is no longer a viable choice.

All things that thrive will eventually decline, this is the law of every natural creature, and the financial market and the currency circle market are no exception. The industrial age, the real estate age, and then the internet age have all created many heroes, but whether the next era will be blockchain or other markets is unpredictable for us. Especially the nature of the currency circle is very grand, and the great ideals, in order to truly be realized, require a very cruel price to be paid. The successful eras of the revolutionary era and the securities era often ended very tragically for their creators. The current currency circle can be said to have reached the peak of history, and how long this peak can continue and whether it can create new highs is a very unknown attribute for investors.

Yesterday, this issue was also discussed with everyone. The currency circle belongs to a speculative market, and the fate of speculative markets is almost always very short-lived, or one might say, a flash in the pan. So for the currently blindly optimistic currency friends, Lao Cui still hopes that everyone can be a little more calm. With the historical process of regularization and legalization advancing, miraculous things can only be more and more strictly controlled. So do you think there will still be currencies that increase by a thousand or a hundred times, and then create the myth of Bitcoin? The prosperity of the currency circle will inevitably attract enough chips, and the current financial system has already erupted into very intense conflicts, and the myth of the US dollar has already fallen from its pedestal, and the flow of funds is more inclined towards the gold energy market. The living space left for us is actually gradually shrinking.

While everyone is still fantasizing about the prosperity of the currency circle, the entire financial situation in Asia has experienced a cliff-like decline, and the news that the yen has fallen below 155 is very convincing. The main reason for the global decline is the magnification of the drawbacks of capitalism. And the currency circle is a very optimistic market that pays great attention to public opinion and future prospects. Faced with the impact of pessimism, it is difficult to escape the downward trend. Everyone can also see that the entire economic situation of the currency circle is facing the heavyweight news of Bitcoin halving, which has only brought Bitcoin back from the 60,000 mark, and the trend yesterday was very obvious. Lao Cui has already pointed out that the high point will not be too high, and there is a choice to enter a short position if there is a position, and it has already been achieved today. Those of you with a keen sense have already smelled the scent of the sickle. The entire economic volume is already finding it difficult to support Bitcoin reaching the 70,000 mark again.

It can be said that the previous pullback can be seen as a rise and fall, but with the recent fluctuations, it is not difficult to see that the low points are getting lower and the high points are also getting lower. The entire trend has already leaned towards a bear market, and the issue of exchange rates has always been unsolvable, and the old US is still thinking about a non-cutting interest rate strategy, which is more harmful than beneficial for the entire currency circle. Currently, only waiting for the decline in exchange rates can save the entire trend of Bitcoin. The yen has already been besieged, and the old US is absorbing more funds, which can only delay the time for a rate cut. Speaking of these underlying logics, it is only hoped that everyone, whether making a profit or a loss, can understand the reasons for it. The more perfect the understanding of the underlying structure, the better one can avoid losses.

Therefore, in summary, the annual ring of the currency circle may be replaced at any time. For us ordinary investors, seizing limited opportunities to create greater value is what we should do. Whether it is spot or contract users, as long as there is a certain profit space at present, it must be secured. At least up to now, there is still no market return rate higher than the currency circle. The myth of the currency circle is being created year after year, although there are limitations, it is still in its prime. What Lao Cui is saying is not to let everyone exit the currency circle, but to hope that everyone can have a correct understanding of the difference between the speculative market and the investment market during the investment period. In the next few years, the currency circle will not encounter major problems, and there will definitely be the appearance of bubbles, but this bubble will not burst in the near future.

For users who entered short positions in the contract market yesterday, be prepared to exit at any time. For specific issues, you can directly ask Lao Cui, and Lao Cui will reply to each one after seeing the question, there may be delays, but it will definitely be answered.

Original article created by public account: Lao Cui Shuo Bi. If there is any infringement, please contact the author to delete it.

Lao Cui's message: Investment is like playing chess. A master can see five steps, seven steps, or even a dozen steps ahead, while a low-level player can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation, plans for the future, and does not focus on each move, but aims to win the game in the end, while the low-level player fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only fighting for short-term gains, and as a result, frequently gets trapped.

This material is for learning and reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Buying and selling based on this material is at your own risk!

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