百萬Eric | Day Trader
百萬Eric | Day Trader|Apr 17, 2025 07:28
The fundamental logic of when micro strategies will sell coins is certainly valuable, especially when making medium - to long-term judgments - but it is not easy to use itself to guide specific trading decisions. I would like to remind you that the fundamental framework does have explanatory power, especially when backtracking, it is often "logically perfect and self consistent". However, in real-world operations, the relationship between it and the rhythm of the band/trend is often not so linear. Sometimes there is a positive correlation, sometimes there is a negative correlation, and most of the time there is a misalignment between them Especially when you are not researching company valuation or macro asset allocation, but just looking for a low draw or game opportunity, being overly immersed in the assumption of "who will sell coins or not" will actually miss the high odds opportunity in front of you. For example, on February 28th, when Bitcoin was still at 84000, my algorithm detected a large buy at 73650 and added a sentence: "2% to 3% downside space is a reasonable tolerance range. This judgment is not based on fundamentals or news predictions, but on odds, positions, and position signals themselves On March 12th, the price hit the buying position of this large player precisely when many people thought it was' going to collapse ', but there were people in the market who were' attracting funds'. So now you may still want to ask: Has Bitcoin come to an end? I don't know. Can it increase to 100000? I don't know either, but I think 97000 is a location worth paying attention to. Will it still fall? I still don't know, but if it breaks 74000, the structure will change. Can micro strategies sell I still don't know. But if their buying range coincides with the high odds range identified by my algorithm, I will not hesitate to place an order. It's not about 'understanding them', but about 'taking advantage of them'.
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