*Walter Bloomberg|Mar 28, 2025 15:31
WHAT ARE THE ODDS OF A U.S. RECESSION IN 2025?
🔸 Kalshi: 40%
🔸 Larry Summers: 50%
🔸 J.P. Morgan: 40%
🔸 CNBC Fed Survey: 36%
🔸 Moody’s Analytics: 35%
🔸 Pimco: 35%
🔸 Goldman Sachs: 20%
The U.S. economy faces uncertainty in 2025, with recession odds rising. Experts estimate a ~40% chance, driven by Trump’s tariffs, declining consumer confidence, and GDP forecasts
WHAT TO WATCH: April 2 tariff deadline, upcoming jobs reports, and consumer spending trends. The economy’s fate hinges on policy decisions in the coming months
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecssnber/recession
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