PlanB
PlanB|Mar 19, 2025 17:43
Some are calling the bear market. I don't agree. The fact that Bitcoin’s 200-week arithmetic and geometric means have been close together for over a year indicates reduced volatility and steady sustained uptrend, doubling from $20k to $40k in 2023 and from 40k to $80k in 2024. What if this steady uptrend continues, from $80k to $160k in 2025, to $320k in 2026, to $640k in 2027 etc? Yes such a scenario would mean the end of the 4-year cycle, earlier than I expected tbh, but it would fit a more mature market. Also note: you can only have a real bear market (converging arithmetic and geometric means) after a real bull market (diverging arithmetic and geometric means) ... and there has been no real bull market.
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