Trump's First Hundred Days of Cryptocurrency Policy "Report Card": Why Is It Difficult to Stop Bitcoin's "Roller Coaster" Despite Promises?

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Trump's First 100 Days Crypto Policy "Report Card": Why Is It Difficult to Stop Bitcoin's "Roller Coaster"?​

Since #Trump took office as President of the United States, it has been chaotic for various industries. As he celebrates his second term's first 100 days in office, supporters of digital assets are beginning to examine what his administration has brought to the industry.

Mateusz Kara, CEO of crypto company Ari10, told DL News, "The question is, have we overestimated what Trump can do?"

During last year's U.S. election, the cryptocurrency industry supported Trump, hoping he would end the Biden administration's crackdown on cryptocurrencies, implement favorable regulations for the industry, and kickstart a bull market.

Although some regulations have been relaxed, the White House's trade war has led to a nearly 21% decline in the global cryptocurrency market capitalization since its peak in December last year, amounting to about $800 billion.

Bitcoin has fallen more than 10% from the level on January 20, the day before Trump's inauguration, when the price of Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $109,225.

Data from the Dow Jones market shows that earlier this month, Bitcoin was impacted by #tariff concerns and fell below $74,500 on April 7, but as of the writing of this article, it has rebounded to around $94,500.

Trump's First 100 Days Crypto Policy "Report Card": Why Is It Difficult to Stop Bitcoin's "Roller Coaster"?​

So, what promises has Trump fulfilled so far, and where does the industry go from here?

The "Cryptocurrency War" in the Biden Era

Former U.S. President Joe Biden has been a harsh critic of cryptocurrencies, pushing for strict regulations on the industry and supporting the crackdown initiated by then-SEC Chairman Gary Gensler.

During his campaign, Trump promised to end Biden's "cryptocurrency war."

After taking office, Trump replaced Gensler with pro-cryptocurrency new chairman Paul Atkins, who promised to bring clarity to cryptocurrency regulation.

This year, the SEC dropped lawsuits against cryptocurrency companies such as Coinbase, Ripple, and Kraken.

Trump also appointed industry supporters, such as financial mogul Howard Lutnick, who supports Tether, as Secretary of Commerce, and David Sacks as the cryptocurrency czar.

In his first 100 days in office, Trump issued a series of comprehensive orders banning the creation of a digital dollar, protecting self-custody, establishing a regulatory cryptocurrency advisory group, and creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

He also pardoned Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht and hosted the first White House cryptocurrency summit.

This year, federal regulators have rescinded several cryptocurrency guidelines from the Biden era, paving the way for financial institutions to enter the cryptocurrency service space.

Symbolic Significance > Substantive Benefits?

In short, Trump seems to have fulfilled most of his cryptocurrency promises. So why do some market observers feel dissatisfied?

Jonathan Dixon, an executive at regulatory technology company eflow Global, told DL News, "So far, many campaign promises seem more symbolic than substantive."

"The Bitcoin reserve is essentially a rebranding—these assets have long been held by the government and do not indicate active market participation."

Dixon stated that while Trump's actions mark a "shift in rhetoric from the previous administration," "mere rhetoric does not translate into regulatory certainty."

The Trump administration has yet to push through new laws, but some legislation is advancing on Capitol Hill.

South Carolina Republican Senator Tim Scott stated in early April, "We are making good progress."

Eric Rose, Executive Director of Digital Assets at StoneX, pointed out, "These are all very positive factors for the field, but they need time to prove themselves… Just because banks are allowed to participate in the digital asset space doesn't mean they can jump in tomorrow, right? They need time to strategize, decide the direction they want to develop, how to implement that strategy, and hire the right people for it."

Eric Rose stated in an interview with Market Watch that this could take up to two years of preparation time.

Chaos from the Trade War

Ari10 CEO Mateusz Kara stated, "The market may be disappointed with Trump's administration because we haven't seen the market rise. This is a result of the delayed interest rate cuts and the chaos Trump has brought to the market."

Trump has yet to fulfill his promise of interest rate cuts, which are seen as a catalyst for risk assets like cryptocurrencies and stocks.

This is one reason why Bitcoin surged when the central bank cut rates in September and November.

The problem is that the Federal Reserve operates independently of the White House, and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is reluctant to cut rates, especially after Trump imposed comprehensive tariffs on nearly 100 countries (including many island nations with predominantly "penguin" populations) and made the financial future of the U.S. more uncertain.

After Trump halted these tariffs, the overall cryptocurrency market slightly rebounded, but any hostile actions could negate this effect.

Anthony Young, Chief Business Officer of cryptocurrency risk management company CoinCover, stated, "The U.S. government's trade war will inevitably impact the cryptocurrency industry, and the focus is on whether cryptocurrencies can continue to serve as a hedge against global market behavior."

Some believe that Trump's trade war may be beneficial for cryptocurrencies.

Papuna Lezhava, CEO and co-founder of fintech startup Keepz and former advisor to the International Monetary Fund, stated, "Trump's foreign trade policy may actually make cryptocurrencies more attractive to those looking to avoid traditional financial systems or government-controlled currencies."

This article is compiled from DL News, MarketWatch, and other sources, and the views are for reference only.

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