Facing high interest rates after 2024 + potential economic recession

CN
Phyrex
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8 days ago

In the face of high interest rates and potential economic recession after 2024, I have designed an executable fixed income yield strategy that combines gold, U.S. Treasuries, short-term bonds, and BTC to achieve safe and liquid dollar-denominated returns under macroeconomic uncertainty, while also extending to BTC-denominated returns.

30% Gold + 30% 20-Year U.S. Treasuries + 30% T-bills (4 weeks) + 10% Bitcoin

The annualized expected return of the portfolio, excluding $BTC, is approximately 4.9%. In extreme cases, the yield can cover BTC drawdowns, allowing for the construction of a zero-cost long position in BTC over two years, and then welcoming the market rebound brought by future liquidity shifts.

Strategy Mechanism:

During economic recession: Hold gold and U.S. Treasuries to lock in returns and stabilize principal.

During the transition to easing: Gradually sell gold and U.S. Treasuries, rolling into BTC.

The lower BTC goes, the lower the buying cost, and the greater the yield elasticity.

Every time the Federal Reserve enters an easing window, it is an opportunity to shift into "risk assets."

This tweet is sponsored by @ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With ApeX

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