“Bear” has returned
This time, compared to the half-year oscillation period after April 2023 and March 2024, it will be even harder to endure.
Back then, the half-year period had already caused many traders immense pain.
This time, I estimate it will exceed a year.
This conclusion is drawn from the cyclical trend analysis.
I roughly estimate two potential paths that are most likely:
Bitcoin price oscillates widely between $70,000 and $110,000, using time to exchange for space, oscillating in this range for over a year.
Bitcoin price oscillates widely between $50,000 and $110,000, clearing and reshuffling through a drop of over 50%.
Both methods essentially complete a unilateral upward trend over the same cyclical level from early 2023 to early 2025.
The previous phase was a two-year upward cycle, and the next will be a correction and adjustment for at least over a year.
Of course, within this adjustment period, it is not ruled out that a wave B rebound might return near historical highs.
Therefore, throughout 2025, I only hope to capture this wave for long positions.
As for the rest, I will ignore the small-scale chaotic fluctuations.
As a swing trend trader, a fluctuating market is just giving away money; controlling one's hands is the right answer.
This time, after more than two years, I am withdrawing again.
I also suggest everyone withdraw more and enjoy life, even though it may seem like we haven't made any money or are close to zero.
I haven't made money this round either; the funds I have left in the circle have already hit a historical low in recent years.
Withdraw some to live day by day, wait for a few years, and hope that the not-so-much remaining funds can create miracles and rise again.
For most people, it is almost very difficult to get rich a second time, including myself; we are just ordinary people…
Let go of obsession, focus on the present, accumulate learning, and build up to a breakthrough.
🙂🙂🙂🙂🙂
BTC
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
