Trading contracts is like playing a game; don’t always think about getting rich overnight. First, ensure you don’t “die” before anything else! When the market is wildly rising and falling, it’s better to play dead. If you don’t understand, don’t force it; minimizing losses is a gain. If you make money, don’t show off; if you lose money, don’t smash your phone. The market is specialized in dealing with all kinds of disobedience; the more anxious you are, the more it bullies you. Focus on one or two signals each day; understanding Bollinger Bands and support levels is more effective than any secret strategy. The experts calling trades in the group might be panicking themselves; trusting others is not as good as trusting candlesticks. It’s not embarrassing to get liquidated; what’s embarrassing is falling into the same pit twice. Write down the reasons for each loss and avoid them next time. Remember, this market is not short of opportunities; what it lacks is people who can last until the end. Take it slow, be steady, and living long is the real skill!
Bitcoin & Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Strategy
I. Review of the Market in the Early Morning
First Rise, Then Fall: In the early morning, Bitcoin surged to around $88,500 before sharply retreating, hitting a low of $82,000 at the support level, and then rebounding slightly; Ethereum also surged to around $1,960 before falling back, hitting a low of around $1,780 before rebounding.
In Line with Expectations: This trend is consistent with the previous day’s analysis of “continuing fluctuations,” with prices still operating between the upper and lower bands of the four-hour Bollinger Bands.
Review of Yesterday’s Strategy
Yesterday, we set up long positions near Bitcoin $84,000 and Ethereum $1,850, with Bitcoin gaining 1,100 points and Ethereum gaining 30 points in profit.
Subsequently, with the support of the tariff policy in the early morning, we also established short positions at high levels, achieving substantial profits, with Bitcoin gaining 5,500 points and Ethereum around 100 points (it was mentioned in yesterday’s analysis that Trump would speak about tariffs at 3 AM).
II. Core Technical Views
Continuation of Fluctuation Pattern
Bitcoin: Since April 1, it has been fluctuating in the $80,000-$88,000 range, and it is difficult to break this pattern in the short term.
Ethereum: The fluctuation range is locked between $1,780-$2,040, with no signs of a unilateral breakout yet.
Key Resistance: There is strong selling pressure above $88,000 for Bitcoin, with multiple attempts to rise being suppressed; similarly, the pressure above $2,000 for Ethereum is significant.
Indicator References
- Bollinger Bands: The upper and lower bands of the four-hour Bollinger Bands serve as the boundaries of the fluctuation range, and intraday trading can be combined with the edges of the one-hour Bollinger Bands (upper band resistance, lower band support) for short-term operations.
III. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Cryptocurrency
Support Range
Resistance Range
Bitcoin
$82,000-$83,000
$85,500-$86,500
Ethereum
$1,780-$1,800
$1,880-$1,910
IV. Today's Trading Strategy
Overall Approach: Sell high and buy low, building positions in batches around support and resistance ranges.
Bullish Strategy (Buying Low)
Bitcoin: Gradually build long positions in the $82,000-$83,000 range, with a stop-loss reference at $81,000.
Ethereum: Gradually enter long positions in the $1,780-$1,800 range, with a stop-loss reference at $1,750.
（Targeting the upper band of the range, such as Bitcoin $85,000 and Ethereum around $1,880）
Bearish Strategy (Selling High)
Bitcoin: Gradually build short positions in the $85,500-$86,500 range, with a stop-loss reference at $87,500.
Ethereum: Gradually enter short positions in the $1,880-$1,910 range, with a stop-loss reference at $1,950.
（Targeting the lower band of the range, such as Bitcoin $83,000 and Ethereum around $1,800）
V. Additional Trading Suggestions
Time Frame: Prioritize the one-hour candlestick chart, combining signals from the edges of the Bollinger Bands (attempting short positions when the price touches the upper band and long positions when it touches the lower band).
Position Management: Build positions in batches to reduce risk and avoid heavy positions at once.
Take Profit and Stop Loss: In a fluctuating market, profit targets should not be too large; secure profits in a timely manner; strictly set stop-losses to prevent false breakouts.
VI. Risk Warnings
Market Sentiment: News may still trigger short-term volatility, so be cautious of sudden negative/positive news leading to breakouts.
Trend Reversal Signals: If Bitcoin stabilizes above $88,000 or Ethereum breaks above $2,040, the trend direction needs to be reassessed.
Light Positions: The current fluctuation cycle is long, and the probability of repeated washouts is high; light positions are safer.
Summary: The market is still in a stage of long and short battles; in the short term, respond with a range fluctuation approach and patiently wait for directional breakout signals. Flexibly use support and resistance levels, with risk control as the first principle.
(Note: 📣 Due to the limited timeliness and depth of information on public platforms, the market changes rapidly. Key turning points, precise trading strategies, and sudden risk warnings need to be synchronized in real-time on (public account - Bitcoin Big Bear). Here, you can obtain: real-time strategy updates, in-depth analysis support, interactive Q&A, and risk warnings and optimization suggestions for personal holdings. 🚨 Remember: the market always rewards those who act faster and have more accurate information! Be a winner among the minority.)
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
