According to the data released by the Federal Reserve

CN
Phyrex
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22 hours ago

According to data released by the Federal Reserve, the effective federal funds rate in the United States was 4.33% on April 1, with a trading volume of $112 billion, while on March 31, it was also 4.33%, with a trading volume of $78 billion.

This indicates that after entering April, the market's expectations for the federal funds rate remained stable, with no significant changes or signs of panic. The current short-term liquidity situation is stable, and there are no particular signs of funding tightness or relaxation.

The overnight lending volume among market participants increased by 43%, which may represent a liquidity adjustment at the beginning of the quarter (Q2), as institutions adjust positions, settle, or deploy funds. However, since the interest rate has not changed, the increased liquidity has not pushed up short-term financing costs, indicating that the market remains ample.

With the interest rate unchanged, the trading activity in the federal funds market has increased, and the demand for market liquidity has risen temporarily, but overall it remains robust, with no pressure on interest rates.

In simpler terms, the liquidity of the dollar has not tightened further, and there is an upward trend in the market's demand for funds. If funds were truly tight, the EFFR (effective federal funds rate) should have risen, rather than remaining at 4.33%.

To put it another way, funds are currently being positioned rather than exiting.

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