Starting from April 2, "reciprocal tariffs" will be implemented, imposing tariffs on countries such as China, Canada, Mexico, and the European Union, with rates potentially reaching 25% or higher. This will affect industries such as automobiles, steel, and oil, aiming to protect American manufacturing and reduce the trade deficit. This move may drive up prices and trigger international countermeasures, with specific details to be announced on April 2.
The tech sector experienced a sharp decline last night, but today opened higher, with the Nasdaq recovering near yesterday's breakdown point, while the other two indices did not completely fall below their support levels. This indicates that capital is not as pessimistic about the tariff announcement. As of the time of writing, all indices are up, and we will continue to monitor the situation until the announcement tomorrow night.
Bitcoin
After opening lower, Bitcoin rebounded sharply and is currently around 84,700. This aligns with the prediction of a triple bottom support rebound made on the 26th. The daily chart has been oscillating for a week, continuing to break below the MA200 and the daily downtrend line without a breakthrough. We will see how the upcoming tariff announcement impacts this wave.
The daily chart has been showing a divergence with MACD, which has not returned to the zero axis. It is important to watch whether this can be maintained in the coming days, and whether key indicators like the daily downtrend line and MA200 can break through and hold.
Support: Pressure:
Ethereum
Ethereum rebounded above 1900, but yesterday it fell near the previous low, and I also reminded to look for a rebound first, with short-term pressure at 2100. Although Ethereum has been diverging on the daily chart, the lack of explosive volume in the rebound still indicates weakness, so remain cautious. Currently, it is all about the initial position; whether it drops to 1500 or breaks through 2100, we will consider adding positions later. For now, it’s basically a wait-and-see approach.
Support: Pressure:
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