Will AI Agents be the next trend in cryptocurrency? The key is to move from narrative to practicality.

CN
1 day ago

We have the tools, and we have Builders. What we need most now is — self-discipline.

Author: Alec Goh, Head of HTX Ventures

Building a Sustainable Crypto + AI Value System

In the field of digital assets, I have experienced multiple market cycles, most of which were driven by "narratives" and "technological advancements," with very few truly game-changing developments.

Over the past six months, I have gradually realized that the combination of AI Agents and Web3 has the potential to achieve this. However, the prerequisite for all of this is that the industry must move beyond the early hype phase and genuinely build long-term value for end users.

We are already familiar with such stories. In 2017, the ICO boom far outpaced the actual product rollout; in 2021, NFTs exploded into the mainstream, while the infrastructure of most platforms was still not fully established. Both cycles share a common point — the bubble comes quickly, and the correction is equally swift.

The explosion of AI Agent tokens mirrors this. Dozens of projects launched under the banner of "Crypto + AI," quickly attracting significant funding and attention. Some projects reached valuations of billions of dollars within weeks. But as in the past, relying solely on speculative funding makes it difficult to build a sustainable ecosystem. Once the investment enthusiasm wanes, user engagement declines, and most early projects have begun to lose long-term relevance.

However, amidst this wave of volatility, some fundamental changes have indeed occurred.

In the fourth quarter of 2024, DeepSeek achieved a critical technological breakthrough, which has garnered significant attention from us at HTX Ventures. This project trained large-scale models through reinforcement learning, completely independent of manually labeled data. This means that the cost of developing autonomous intelligent agents has significantly decreased, making it possible for AI Agents to be deployed at scale and with low barriers in Web3 for the first time.

This shift is significant. If crypto is to fulfill its promise of "decentralized, programmable financial infrastructure," intelligent agents with autonomous decision-making capabilities will become an indispensable underlying component. However, we are still quite far from this vision.

I worry that the industry may once again focus solely on chasing trends while forgetting to stay grounded. Indeed, a few promising frameworks have emerged, such as Eliza, which is building composable Agent tools compatible with multi-chain ecosystems like Ethereum, Solana, and TON; Launchpads like Virtual and Clanker are accelerating token issuance; and application products like GRIFFAIN and NEUR are also attempting asset management and governance tools.

But these are still just early signs and have not yet formed a clearly validated systemic ecosystem.

Too many AI Agent projects remain speculative rather than aiming for sustainability. If this situation continues, we may once again face the old problems of capital flight, unmet expectations, and slowed project progress.

This would be a tremendous regret.

Because these application needs are real. For most users, overly complex DeFi strategies can be automated through intelligent agents; on-chain governance can be analyzed by Agents who evaluate proposals, compare history, and vote according to user values; cross-chain automated operations can also be executed directly by agents based on user intent.

These scenarios are no longer hypothetical — they are already the reality of current demands. What the industry lacks is not imagination, but stable execution, user retention capabilities, and feasible token economic models.

What should we do next?

First, we must evaluate AI Agent projects using the standards we apply to DeFi protocols.

This means stepping out of vague narratives and moving towards rigorous project logic, posing key questions:

● Who are the actual users?

● Does it have indispensable practical value?

● Where does the revenue come from?

● Can the protocol survive after the token incentives disappear?

Protocols must not only demonstrate technical potential but also showcase real use cases, stable revenue models, and quantifiable impact. This is the fundamental difference between "proof of concept" and "worth building."

Second, beyond applications, the industry also needs to build the infrastructure that supports the successful deployment of AI Agents, including Agent frameworks, data layers, and computing resources. HTX Ventures will continue to closely monitor the development of such infrastructure, as part of it will become essential conditions for the future, much like EVM compatibility is for L1 public chains.

Finally, we need to establish an industry culture that encourages iteration and transparency.

Not every project will get it right the first time, but those teams that can persist in optimizing and continuously refining their work are likely to become the frontrunners in the next phase of Web3.

The integration of AI and crypto is not a "concept," but an "evolution." However, if we are to truly seize this opportunity, the industry must shift from "competing for attention" to "creating value."

This is not only the investment logic of HTX Ventures but also a firm belief formed through our years of experience and future judgments.

We have the tools, and we have Builders. What we need most now is — self-discipline.

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