Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Tuesday, April 1, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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🔥🔥🔥 Today marks the beginning of the second quarter of 2025—April 1. The early days of April in the crypto market will be a rollercoaster process, followed by a directional choice. Although Bitcoin and Ethereum have experienced significant volatility, they have consistently maintained their respective support levels and refused to undergo deep corrections. Tomorrow is the "4.2" date that Trump referred to as the implementation date for reciprocal tariffs. The upcoming operations should still focus on changes in news and pay attention to Yibo's timely grasp of real-time dynamics.
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🔥🔥🔥 Overnight, the three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed. The Dow Jones rose by 1%, with a cumulative decline of 4.2% in March and a cumulative decline of 1.28% in the first quarter; the S&P 500 index rose by 0.55%, with a cumulative decline of 5.75% in March, marking the largest single-month decline since October 2022; the cumulative decline in the first quarter was 4.59%, the largest quarterly decline since Q4 2022; the Dow fell by 0.14%, with a cumulative decline of 8.21% in March, the largest single-month decline in 2023; the cumulative decline in the first quarter was 10.42%, the largest quarterly decline since Q3 2022. The Nasdaq 100 index fell by 8.3% in the first quarter, the worst quarterly performance since Q2 2022. Most large tech stocks fell, with Amazon, Tesla, and Nvidia down over 1%, while Microsoft, Netflix, and Meta saw slight declines; Apple rose nearly 2%, and Google saw a slight increase. According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in May is 86.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 13.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates until June is 24%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 66.2% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 9.8%.
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🔥🔥🔥 Bitcoin rebounded to around 83,870 overnight but then faced pressure and fell back. The upward pressure is significant, and resistance is extremely strong. From the current market analysis, Bitcoin's daily chart shows a doji candlestick, and the previous two days have seen consecutive bearish closes, indicating a lack of upward momentum. In the absence of macro news stimulation, it is difficult to rise to around 85,000. The 4-hour chart shows that although the market experienced a slight single bullish rise, it failed to sustain the increase and began to fall back after reaching the upper range high, with clear upward pressure. Currently, although the bulls have some upward momentum, the rebound strength is insufficient to change the overall market trend and cannot effectively break through the resistance zone. After multiple intraday pullbacks, a quick rebound occurred, but frequent long upper shadows indicate that the market is under clear pressure. If a breakthrough stabilization cannot be achieved in the short term, there is still a risk of a pullback. Therefore, it is not recommended to blindly chase the rise; focus on the breakthrough and stabilization of 84,000 above, while looking at the support around 81,200 below.
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🔥🔥🔥 Ethereum rebounded after testing the bottom at the 1,870 level, facing pressure at 1,850, and then fell back to around 1,820, entering a range-bound oscillation. After consecutive bearish closes on the daily chart, the price pullback has eased somewhat, and the 1,750 level has not been retested, but the selling pressure above is also significant, with the resistance level still at 1,920. On the 4-hour chart, the price rebounded to the mid-band around 1,850 but faced resistance. Although there are signs of a short-term rebound, the strength is weak, and the risk of a pullback remains. In terms of operational strategy, consider attempting to short if the rebound does not break at this position, while continuing to monitor the support at the 1,750 level below. If the pullback does not break, a long position can be taken. Before a clear breakout occurs, consider high selling and low buying operations in the 1,750 - 1,920 range, and follow the trend after a breakout.
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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the charts, don’t know when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck while trying to catch the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, miss market opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade is worth more than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeatedly losing. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.
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