The beautiful valley of the black swan continues to plummet, the Nasdaq gapped down and directly broke below the previous low. After a week of rebound, it broke the previous low again in four days. As of the time of writing, the Dow Jones has dropped by 0.48%, the Nasdaq by 2.1%, and the S&P 500 by 1.12%. The US stock market and Bitcoin have been warning of a black swan event since February 21-23, and the mid-course rebound was also perfectly predicted.

The global traditional financial market is experiencing a black swan crash, marking the beginning of a financial crisis. Everyone must remain vigilant and have a sense of reverence.

Gold has reached a new historical high. Previously, it was mentioned that as global traditional assets soar, there isn't much capital flowing into crypto. However, the current global financial market crash may present an opportunity for crypto, but the premise is to see how much this wave of crypto will be affected by the black swan and how much it will decline, as well as whether Bitcoin's safe-haven property can be reflected.

Bitcoin

The monthly closing is likely to be a doji star, with the support at 76,600 being very critical. The weekly chart shows a engulfing pattern, and the daily chart's rebound has not yet broken the downward trend line. If it continues to break down, new lows will emerge; if it holds, we will still look at the triple bottom rebound as mentioned on the 26th.

The 4-hour chart shows a bottom divergence, also influenced by MicroStrategy's increased holdings, leading to a short-term rebound. The key factor remains to observe Trump's tariff policy. This situation requires attention as Trump actively punctures the financial crisis bubble to rescue the market, which itself may not arrive so quickly. However, a wave of Trump's operations could accelerate the arrival of the financial crisis.

Support: Resistance:

Ethereum

Ethereum has not been much discussed since it broke below 2,100. It is currently near the previous low, and one can only hope for a short-term rebound, but expectations should not be too high, and stop-losses are necessary.

The monthly M-top has broken, and the rebound still looks bearish. Further down, support levels are at 1,500—1,200—1,000. Look for strong coins that do not decline much. Ethereum has previously been mentioned that this round of bull and bear will gradually come to an end.

Support: Resistance:

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The article is time-sensitive and for reference only, updated in real-time.

Focusing on K-line technical research, sharing global investment opportunities. Public account: Trader Gongzi Fusu

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