Why has it dropped again? The core PCE in February 2025 exceeded expectations, increasing inflationary pressures and reinforcing expectations for a delay in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Coupled with weakening economic growth momentum and risks of trade protectionism, this has triggered market concerns about inflation, leading to a significant correction in asset prices. April will not be easy; the implementation of the tariff policy on the 2nd is a ticking time bomb. The market is currently lifeless, and if there is an unexpected tax increase at that time, the reasons for the decline in the cryptocurrency market are complex. If a rebound is desired, interest rate cuts are crucial. Future attention should focus on the inflation situation and the direction of U.S. trade policy, as they will dominate market trends.
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🔥🔥🔥 Bitcoin's market performance shows a continuous downward trend, with prices continuing to fall and touching the 82,000 level. The price has directly pierced through the mid-track support. If it cannot recover in the short term, the downward space will open up again, with the next key point at the lower track of 80,000. In the 4-hour chart, all moving averages continue to trend downward. It was initially thought that the weekend would not bring significant volatility and that prices would oscillate within a small range for adjustment. However, the bears were too strong and broke down in the evening. The MACD fast and slow lines broke below the 0 axis and are running downward, with signs of increasing bearish volume. The KDJ is again trending downward, and the VR indicator is consolidating around the 70 value. The market shows further signs of weakness and continuation downward. Although it is the weekend, it is still recommended to operate with a short-term bearish approach.
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🔥🔥🔥 Ethereum has synchronously dropped below the 1,850 level, testing a low of 1,830. Currently, the daily support level of the previous low is precarious. Yesterday, Ethereum ETF unexpectedly saw a net inflow of 4.7 million USD, finally stopping the bleeding, but this amount is just a drop in the bucket. There is currently no liquidity or sufficient narrative, and without a wealth effect, it remains the perennial second. If a reversal is to happen, it may still have to wait for liquidity to recover. Ethereum's recent performance has been poor, with the market trend continuously declining, causing investor anxiety. Its sluggishness is mainly dragged down by two major factors. The market originally had high hopes for the approval of Ethereum staking ETFs, and large holders were making early arrangements. However, there has been no news on approval so far, and it is likely to be delayed. After hopes were dashed, large holders sold off Ethereum in large quantities to cut losses, putting pressure on the price. At the same time, Ethereum's Prague upgrade has encountered obstacles, with suspected technical vulnerabilities. The stalled upgrade has shaken market confidence, leading investors to exit en masse, resulting in severe capital outflow and a subsequent price drop. In the evening, the short-term operation will temporarily maintain a high short position as the main strategy, with attention to the 1,800 integer level for gains and losses. If it falls below, it will enter a deep adjustment. Conversely, if it holds, it will continue to oscillate at high levels, extending the time for consolidation. The risk coefficient for short-term downward adjustments is relatively high.
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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the market, don’t know when to enter, don’t know how to stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck while trying to catch the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, miss market opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade is worth a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeatedly losing. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, future trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.
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