Today's homework is a bit of a wash because some really foolish operations wasted a lot of time, and now it's almost dawn, which is a bit frustrating.

Currently, the market sentiment has begun to warm up, especially as Trump's attitude towards tariffs has started to become ambiguous. The market has begun to believe that the impact of tariffs may not be very significant, thus limiting their effect on inflation. Interestingly, Trump, who previously stated that the Federal Reserve should not rush to cut interest rates, has changed his stance again and is now suggesting that the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates.

The repeated changes in less than three months are what really give the market a headache, but this time it does provide some help to market sentiment. Whether it's the easing of tariff attitudes or the calls to the Federal Reserve, both can enhance investors' risk appetite, leading to varying degrees of increases in the U.S. stock market and Bitcoin.

What remains is the end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Although it is still in a stalemate, it can be seen that expectations for a ceasefire are getting closer. A ceasefire would help alleviate inflation in the U.S.

Looking back at the data for $BTC itself, it continues the state of the past two days, with short-term bottom-fishing investors providing a lot of turnover. More investors believe that we are still in a rebound trend rather than entering a reversal, and many investors are also worried about a potential recession in the U.S. Recently, many American analysts have indicated that there is a high probability of an economic recession.

However, if, as mentioned earlier, tariffs are just a raised stick rather than a falling result, and if the Russia-Ukraine war can indeed achieve a ceasefire in the short term, it would have a positive effect on inflation. While it may not be considered a reversal, at least the strength of the rebound should be greater.

Currently, the chip concentration area between $93,000 and $98,000 remains very stable, with fewer and fewer sell-offs in this range, leading to a decreasing impact on prices. This week's focus remains on the two data points on Friday: core PCE and the University of Michigan's inflation expectations.

The data has been updated, address: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1E9awSVwrVOxKOiaMdYT5YZvfveeFd9ENU-iO6dVcGj0/edit?usp=sharing

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