Daily Share

It must be said that finding and grasping the critical points of long and short positions is very necessary. Although the market structure sometimes behaves irregularly, we often believe that the previous trend has not ended based on the structure. However, when the market breaks through our expected critical point, the trend often has already reversed.

For example, in the recent market, we repeatedly emphasized that as long as Bitcoin does not break 67800, it should make another pullback to around 65500. But when the price broke through, the actual structure had already changed. Then Bitcoin continued to rise, breaking through 68500 and 68850 in succession. At this point, you have to admit that the short-term trend has shifted from a decline to an increase. If short positions do not stop loss at this time, they may easily get trapped or face the risk of liquidation.

This indicates that in actual trading, one must not be rigid. If the market reverses, you must shift your view from bearish to bullish, or from bullish to bearish. This is very important. So how to judge that the market is about to reverse? In addition to structural judgment, it is also necessary to look for key levels. If the market breaks below a key level, it is highly likely to continue to decline and follow a downward trend. If it breaks above a key level, the market is highly likely to start rising and follow an upward trend.

BTC

Due to the rapid changes in the market in the short term, this article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the moment of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes, which should only be used as a reference.

1H:

At the 1-hour level, we are currently still in the first 1-hour rebound of the 4-hour rebound. We will see if this rebound can push towards around 72000. It is expected that tomorrow afternoon there should be a 1-hour pullback, with support mainly in the 69500~70000 range. After the 1-hour pullback is completed, there will be a third 1-hour rebound. The third 1-hour rebound will be assessed for whether it can break through 73777. If the third rebound does not break through, it is inclined to consolidate in the 70000~72500 range for a 1-hour central area before breaking upwards.

Only if it falls below 68500 can we consider that the market has a deteriorating trend.

15M:

At the 15-minute level, if it can maintain oscillation above 70500, there is hope to build a 15-minute central area, and then continue to extend this 1-hour rebound towards around 72000 or above. If it falls below 70500, it may lead to a 1-hour pullback.

ETH

Ethereum is also expected to start a 4-hour rebound. The daily rebound is expected to continue to extend upwards by forming a 4-hour central area, with hopes of reaching around 2830 or the 2830~2950 range. Therefore, in the short term, the outlook remains bullish.

In the short term, Ethereum may need to undergo a 15-minute pullback, with support around 2600. If it stabilizes, there will be another 15-minute rebound, looking to see if it reaches around 2700. If it does not stabilize, it may lead to a 1-hour pullback, with further attention on around 2550.

Trend Direction

Weekly Level: Direction is upward, currently in a new weekly uptrend, with an overall target looking at 100,000+.

Daily Level: Direction is upward, possibly reaching around 75000.

4-Hour Level: Direction is upward, focusing on 74000~75000.

1-Hour Level: Direction is upward, the first 1-hour rebound has already broken 70000, with attention on around 72000. It is expected that there may be a 1-hour pullback or maintain a central oscillation in the next couple of days.

15-Minute Level: Direction is upward, maintaining above 70500 will continue to focus on 72000.

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The article is time-sensitive, please pay attention to risks. The views in the article are personal suggestions and for reference only!

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