On the news front, the German and Pionex governments have begun frequent sales of previously confiscated "big cakes," and miners are continuing to reduce their holdings to alleviate financial pressure. The substantial negative news of Mt.Gox's massive compensation payments is still supporting the market.
Pionex will have incomplete trading hours this week, with a holiday on July 4th and a half-day holiday on July 3rd. The non-farm payroll data on July 5th will directly affect the market trend, and everyone still remembers the last time it was announced! So pay close attention to changes in the market. After a week of narrow range oscillation at the bottom, the "big cake" rebounded to a high of 63861 yesterday before falling back, continuing to oscillate, and Ethereum retested the low at 3423.
On 24/06/25, BTC plunged to 58400, and the downward phase has ended. The market is about to start rebounding!
On 24/06/26, BTC's weekly and monthly lines will close, and the daily line will return to the bottom of the box. Will there be an opportunity for a second probe?
On 24/06/27, BTC's second probe continues to strengthen, and ETH's triangular bottom rebounds again. Where will it rebound next?
"Big cake" The rebound of the "big cake" faces the pressure of the top of the first large bearish candle, but it has currently broken through the pressure of a week of oscillation at 62500. It has twice touched the pressure near 63800 in the 4-hour chart. It is temporarily seen as maintaining oscillation. Pay attention to whether a effective rebound can occur if it falls back to 62000, otherwise it will need to probe the bottom again. Significant fluctuations need to wait for the non-farm payroll data to be released on Friday. Support: 62000—62400 Pressure: 63860—64600
Ethereum The Ethereum market is quite interesting. Yesterday, a medium bullish candle broke through the three moving averages and today retraced. If it can stabilize in the next few days, there is an opportunity for a rebound. At the same time, the daily downtrend line has been broken, and the price line is at the BOLL midline, with the MACD crossing the zero axis and the fast and slow lines intersecting. The 4-hour chart is in an upward channel, and it is important to continue to monitor that it does not fall below the lower channel. Support: 3355—3400 Pressure: 3678—3721
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